The british still do not know, on average, the economic impact it can have on their economy, the so-called “hard Brexit”, that is to say, get out of the single market of the European Union. Going to be a foreign country, impose customs duties on the one hand, and another of the Channel. You will lose money by exporting and importing cars to and from the continent.
where do these figures? It is a calculation of the SMMT, the british equivalent to ANFAC (Spanish Association of Manufacturers of Cars and Trucks). Taking an average price of 15,000 pounds per vehicle, and considering that we import more cars from Europe than are exported, we have considered both types of tariff.
Bring the cars from the European Union will have an added cost of 2,700 million pounds. On the other hand, export will involve 1,800 million pounds. The sum of this amount represents the change about 5,300 million euros. It is a lot of money. Why is that 10%? Is the percentage set by the World Trade Organization to countries without a bilateral agreement of free trade.
The employers ‘ association of manufacturers warns the executive Theresa May: “take the right decisions” to be able to remain within the single market. The European Union requires, as a condition of access to the single market (free movement of goods) the free movement of persons. That is to say, the conservatives would have to choose between their policy of restriction on migration or the single market.
The automotive sector employs 814.000 people in the Uk
Of all the scenarios post-“Brexit” that exist, none is more advantageous to the United Kingdom in relation to the current situation. The SMMT is confident that the british executive to be able to make transfers in order to maintain access to the single market but London leaves from Brussels, its bureaucratic apparatus, cohesion funds, etc
At its annual dinner, SMMT has revealed that yes, 2016 is on track to be a record of production, and exceed the figures of 2015, but that has been the fruit of years of work and foreign investment has earned. Since the referendum, only Nissan and Jaguad Land Rover have committed more funds and production for the future. The others are in a position of type “we’ll see when the production cycles are now to end up”.
For example, Ford is going to meet with Theresa May and within days, to discuss the terms that they invite to maintain its infrastructure. Nissan already got weeks ago a deal very advantageous to compromise the production of Qashqai in the third generation and its equivalent in the X-Trail. The production of the Note has been lost, but for reasons beyond the control of the “Brexit”, a commercial failure.
The contribution of the sector to the domestic economy is 12,200 million pounds per year
Ford has already closed down their factories for sheet metal and paint, but maintains two factories of engines and a technical centre where they work more engineers at Nissan. I must say that Nissan is the leading car manufacturer of United Kingdom, with its megafactoría in Sunderland. Ford shifted production to Germany, Spain, and Turkey mainly, and also closed down a flat in Belgium. Ford is the manufacturer that more sold in that country. , adding cars and I SAW light.
The SMMT do not trust the manufacturers or their dealer network to endure that 10% increase of price for your account, you will end up eating individuals and businesses. The models of local production will have more of an advantage, undoubtedly, but it is a country with a balance net importer, so that you get more pounds of those that get to change.
There is another thorny issue, and it is that 10% of the workforce in the british industry of the automobile is not formed by british, but by the citizens of the European Union, some 80,000 people. Like any other foreign national in the United Kingdom post-“Brexit”, can that many are and a loss of human capital and know-how is very important.
The SMMT prefer to think in the called fourth industrial revolution, in that it can reduce the manufacturing time, a third, thanks to the adoption of new technologies such as 3D printing or artificial intelligence. That revolution is primarily dependent on the foreign capital, and for that you need stability, legal certainty and peace of mind for investors.
If you miss that train towards the competitiveness, the Uk will lose interest to other countries where it is welcome-and safe invest – that money. For example, the other day we were talking about the future role that will have the north of Africa, and there are free trade zones -such as Tangier – exporting vehicles to Europe, the Dacia Dokker and Lodgy. it Would be ironic that the “Brexit” to help further the growth of that area.