The diesel back up. It is a fact. A few weeks ago I mentioned a statistic very revealing. In the first quarter of 2016, the diesel has led to a 57.8% of the enrolment total in Spain, rising to 56.5% in the month of April, with a decline in its share of 5% in the year so far. The fact, no less important, is that the western Europe is also following that trend in that the diesel is still losing share. In the month of April the enrollment diesel stood at 49.7%, so that the number of diesel registered was lower than the sum of passenger cars with gasoline engines, hybrid, electric and alternative fuels.
The figure of April, far from being a reflection of a statistical anomaly, binds to the gradual decline that has experienced the diesel in showrooms throughout the first quarter. Between January and April of 2016, the share of diesel in Europe has receded by 2.2 points, standing at 50.1%.
As I said, although the share of diesel in Spain is pushed back, and at a faster pace than in the countries of our environment, the diesel will continue to enjoy a share in Spain is very superior to the rest of the continent. how Is finishing the diesel in Europe?
One of the explanations, which pointed from Automotive News, is the the coup that it has received the reputation of the diesel after the scandal of the TDI Volkswagen unleashed in the united States. Another explanation, no less far-fetched, is to be found in the pollution episodes that have been seen in recent months in some european capitals. Episodes that would reveal that, among other causes, there was a connection with the driving of private vehicles with diesel engines. This situation would have led the authorities to raise prohibitions, or at least restrictions, for diesel, at least the most pollutants.
But the reality may not be so obvious. The diesel to fall back does not have to mean your end, and not even disclose such a drastic change in the mentality of the european buyer. Long time we have been insisting that in many cases, the diesel have ceased to be a clever alternative, especially according to the statistics reflect the average use of a car in Spain and in Europe.
According to figures from the consulting firm LMC Automotive, the largest fall of diesel has occurred in the lower segments, among utility vehicles, compact and small minivans. It has also resulted in a reduction of the share of the diesel, though much smaller, in segments so important to the diesel as the sedan of medium and large size, in which the diesel represents 80% as compared to the rest of alternatives.
The reality invites us to think that it is logical that the diesel start to see reduced its share progressively. Especially if we take into account the improvements that are attending the petrol engines, the slight growth that are experimenting with alternative fuels and, above all, the increase in the supply of passenger cars electric and hybrid, and the heavy incentives they are receiving to promote their acquisition. Analyst IHS Automotive estimates that in 2027, the share of diesel in Europe will have fallen to 35%.
Spain remained among the markets in which the diesel has a higher fee. In France, for example, the diesel has been assumed in the first quarter of 2016 a 59,3% (-6,7%) of the enrolments, while in Italy have been located in at 55.7% (-0,2 percent), in Germany, at 48.4 per cent (down 0.8%) and in the Uk in 48,3% (-0,7%).